Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.164979 0.189372 0.217287 0.251848 0.293841 0.343667 0.407946
2025-03-23 0.128809 0.160430 0.200771 0.257125 0.335663 0.444191 0.611066
2025-03-30 0.103905 0.136902 0.182354 0.251768 0.359393 0.528026 0.830950
2025-04-06 0.089747 0.123648 0.173333 0.255093 0.394225 0.638871 1.150726
2025-04-13 0.078116 0.111376 0.162529 0.251894 0.416178 0.735445 1.504381
2025-04-20 0.070706 0.103964 0.157409 0.256136 0.451635 0.871649 2.046948
2025-04-27 0.065174 0.098505 0.154237 0.262645 0.493078 1.039987 2.833910
2025-05-04 0.060431 0.093571 0.150967 0.267957 0.533591 1.227913 3.913021
2025-05-11 0.056648 0.089698 0.148852 0.274916 0.580235 1.460641 5.536753
2025-05-18 0.052925 0.085425 0.145273 0.277916 0.618436 1.695080 7.674042
2025-05-25 0.049519 0.081301 0.141338 0.279233 0.652961 1.944535 10.614199
2025-06-01 0.046226 0.077013 0.136464 0.277354 0.678187 2.182459 14.390303
2025-06-08 0.042876 0.072346 0.130361 0.271708 0.691841 2.394378 19.119119
2025-06-15 0.041062 0.070447 0.129779 0.279775 0.753014 2.890735 31.176729
2025-06-22 0.038361 0.066546 0.124427 0.274469 0.767804 3.177174 43.630428
2025-06-29 0.036627 0.064402 0.122642 0.278392 0.817991 3.737859 73.373684
2025-07-06 0.034541 0.061354 0.118467 0.274873 0.839229 4.156462 113.358432
2025-07-13 0.033190 0.059692 0.117254 0.279641 0.896726 4.943804 224.026906
2025-07-20 0.032095 0.058467 0.116900 0.286940 0.969800 6.031239 551.716831
2025-07-27 0.031001 0.057140 0.116143 0.292899 1.041284 7.314900 1698.535442
2025-08-03 0.030077 0.056099 0.115954 0.300708 1.127717 9.073167 9744.052979
2025-08-10 0.028994 0.054618 0.114498 0.304077 1.194634 10.885018 161216.571942
2025-08-17 0.027901 0.053028 0.112588 0.305556 1.253465 12.895315 NaN